Deep Dive Intel Briefing: What We Learned This Week 3/7/2026 Lt Col Daniel Davis

Yesterday we led off with the news that President Trump had sent out on Truth Social an unconditional surrender requirement and we talked about how bad that was and how that that rose level even higher of uh what we could have to accomplish in order to have some success. Well, can't leave well enough alone. So, President Trump just hours ago has released another one and I think it's even making things even worse. Let's take a look at what he said there. Iran, which is beat to hell, has apologized and surrendered to its Middle East neighbors. You're going, "Wow, they actually surrendered." You call for full scale or unconditional surrender yesterday and here he's saying the very next day that they have surrendered to their Middle East neighbors. That's interesting. More on that in just a second. The and promise that they will not shoot at them anymore. This promise was only made because of the relentless US and Israeli attack. They were looking to take over and rule the Middle East. It is the first time Iran has ever lost in thousands of years to surrounding Middle Eastern countries. All right, I'm going to push pause on that for just a second because he's about to say something else I want to comment on. Let me give you the context. When he says that Pescian has surrendered, here's what he's talking about. Earlier this morning, our time, the Iranian president went out uh on a on a kind of a lengthy uh public broadcast and said that overnight, according to this uh this interpretation here, Peskian issued a statement apologizing, not surrendering, but apologizing for attacks this past week against neighboring countries, claiming that some attacks were carried out independently by regional commanders without directive due to the loss of communication. further stating that the temporary leadership council has ordered a halt to attacks on these countries unless territory is uh is used to attack Iran. Now that's that's what he said. So he did not say in this which countries he's talking about. Now there is some confusion. Is he talking about all of the regional actors? Qatar, UAE, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, uh Oman, Bahrain. Is he talking about those or is he talking about some of the other neighboring countries like Azeran uh Cyprus and some of the others that were claimed that Iran has said that they actually did not attack. It's unclear what he meant by that. Um it's interesting just before coming on the air here I was actually on with Mario Nafal who as you may know is broadcast from the Middle East and as we're on the air uh he said that his alerts went off and that there was an attack somewhere uh in the city where he was broadcasting from. So, uh, we didn't get a chance to find out what the results of that was. So, I don't know if that's that's one of the reasons we're wondering what is the definition of neighboring countries and and what is going to be the criteria that they're going to use. Nevertheless, that's what he said. So, when President Trump Gary, if you can go back to the truth social now and blow that up to the full screen, uh, when he says that uh that he apologized and surrendered to the Middle East neighbors, I think that's what he meant. So, he didn't surrender to anybody. Uh, he did apologize though, so that was by itself interesting. Uh and then he also talked about the possession that he validated what we have suggested that this dead hand process that when we went in with the initial uh decapitation strikes and cutting off their communications that it it automatically triggered all of these attacks throughout the country. That's why we had such a high level of fire right from the beginning. But let's get back to where we are here. So Trump first of all claims that this is the first time they have ever lost. Uh the war is still going on. Nothing has been won or lost by anybody so far. They have said, "Thank you, President Trump." I have said, "You're welcome." That's that's bizarre. I just got to say, uh, I don't recall, at least nothing publicly where, uh, the, uh, Peskian said he thanked President Trump and but I guess here President Trump saying, "You're welcome." But then he goes on, it turns a little darker. Iran is no longer the bully of the Middle East. They were never the bully of the Middle East. They were always on their back foot because their powerful neighbors were always pushing in. But I digress. They are instead the loser of the Middle East and will be for many decades until they surrender or more likely completely collapse. Today, Iran will be hit very hard under serious consideration for complete destruction and certain death. Because of Iran's bad behavior are areas and groups of people that were not considered for targeting up until this moment. Thank you for your attention to this matter. And then his weird conclusion that he always puts on there. Uh that by itself, that last section there is uh definitely something that I believe everybody in Iran is paying attention to and I'm I'm sure that there is something serious behind this. This is probably not one of those where he's just given entry empty rhetoric when he says today Iran will be hit very hard under serious consideration for complete destruction and certain death because of Iran's bad behavior are areas and groups of people that were not considered for targeting up until this moment of time. That lines up with what Secretary Hexet said from Cintcom commander uh from the Centcom headquarters a couple of days ago where he said the biggest strikes are yet to come. He said we are building up profound amounts of combat power. So those two things line up. Uh so uh whatever has happened up to this point um this is probably going to once the sun goes down I think that'll happen somewhere around 5 or 6 p.m. Washington DC time today. Everything gets concerning here about what may happen. So, I'm I'm expecting um that there may well be some really big news coming out uh overnight. We'll certainly keep an eye on that. But that that gets to the point of uh where is this war going now? You've seen Secretary Hex say, "Okay, it's going to um we're going to crush them. Uh we're winning. Uh they're toast. Uh we can do this forever. We have all kinds of ammunition." But do we? We may have a substantial amount of some categories of ammunition, but as you're about to see, we are far from having enough to do everything that we want. Despite President Trump's claims, despite uh the Secretary of War's claims, uh there there are some real real limitations and as you're about to see, uh some of those are coming up a lot sooner than we think. Looks to me like President Trump is trying to go with the shock and two a second version from the opening round to try and compel coercion right now. Let me just explain to you the the pan the White House is in a panic. Guaranteed there's some big big red flags going on today. You might not see if all you listen to is the rhetoric from Trump and his true social you might lose fact of the fact of the reality that he is in real trouble here. Now, I'm going to show you some of the very specific uh reasons why. First of all, uh let's take a look at here um at the uh the loss of those radars. Gary had them up there. We are losing a number of very important radars which we need to be able to track incoming missiles to give warnings uh to be able to to fire uh anti-air air missiles in retaliation to even potentially intercept some of them. Those are being knocked out at a sharp clip. It shows that the Iranian side has a very sharp uh focused uh operation. They understand they have limited means. So they're going after the most important targets first, which are the radars. More concerning is that in the THAAD radar systems, half of America's global THAD radar systems have now been confirmed with satellite imagery to have been taken out. We only have eight globally and already in one week of war, four of them are gone. That is profound. That is amazing. It it is shockingly amazing. But four in a week, what is going to happen? I'm not sure if all eight are in the region or not, but whatever is in the region, four of them have been taken out, which means that the Iranian side, their intelligence and their targeting capacity is still quite good. That they know where the targets are that they need to go after and then they have the means to actually take them out. That is huge. That is a big red flag. We may have more planes and tanks and ships than and and and other missiles, way more than Iran can match, but it sure shows that the the things that are the most critical that they understand that and they have a mean to really cause some damage to the United States. Um, I want to go now to something that's uh even more critical than that and that is in this alleged allegation uh that everything is going to be okay and that we've got enough of the uh if I can find the right one here. I think this is the one here. Uh yes, this is this is US is facing stockpile depletions in the most important things. There's some things you can replace a lot. Some things we have near near-term anyway and unlimited capacity. But in the things that matter the most, we have some real problems. As you see here, uh, as of December 2025, uh, the missiles uh, missile defense ay's arsenal of SM3s was 414 and the number of THAAD interceptors was 534. In the June 2025 12-day war, the US expended 30% of its THAD stockpiles and 80 SM3s. Production cannot keep pace. Even at quadruple rates, replacing 150 THAD interceptors takes nearly five months. And that's if if we're able to actually produce five, which Trump said yesterday, uh that is a big open question. I have serious doubts that we can even do that at this uh at this uh accelerated pace at this is this is the crucial part right here. This is absolutely vital. At the sustained conflict consumption, the entire US interceptor stockpile could be exhausted in four to five weeks, creating vulnerabilities for NATO, Ukraine, Taiwan, and Japan. All of which depend on US defense supplies. Four to five weeks. That that is probably what Trump had in mind when he said this could go maybe five or six I think is what he said. Or I think he actually used that four or five. This is why because if at the current rates of consumption and they may not because the Iranian uh uh volume of fire has definitely uh reduced from what it began uh for various reasons. some because we've destroyed a lot of their launchers and some because they're actually pacing how many they fire. So maybe it's not really four to five weeks, but folks that's exhausted. Exhausted, not reduced, not limited. It's exhausted. So if it's already, as we've seen for many of these uh the videos that Ted Postol has shown us is that many of these things are are already uh not intercepting very many at all like like five 6% 10% in some cases depending on the platforms that are involved. And if you lose even those and if you lose the radars that's going to come in, you see that that attack rate is going to start going up. Even if the volume of fire from Iran goes down, their success rate of hitting the target is going to start going up. And that's a real problem. And to show you what this is reacting and why I said that there's a panic in the White House is because you're taking a look at what's going on next. So there was news overnight that the George W. Bush. Another a third aircraft carrier has now been dispatched to the Middle East. A third aircraft carrier. So obviously if we're doing as well as what Secretary Hexis says, why would you need another one? You said you have overmatch. And remember how he was mocking the uh the Iranian side and said, "Oh, that all they can do is look up in the sky and see all these uh planes flying over and there's just loitering around just waiting." Well, then why would you need another aircraft carrier if you already had mastery of the sky and literally nothing that the enemy could do? That you've already got more than enough. That's why we deployed so much groundbased air power that at the bases and the sea based grandpower from two aircraft carrier strike groups. So, that's that's an alert that something going on. Second one is that there has been reports we mentioned yesterday that the 82nd Airborne uh seems to have been alerted. They they had an exercise that they've stopped. Um they haven't announced what they're going to do yet. Lots of talk in the open press. A lot of senior administration officials say, "Yeah, we're actually seriously thinking about a ground invasion about a boots on the ground kind of thing." Lots of talk about the Kurds. Uh that's getting a lot of cold water poured on it from the Iraqi Kurds, especially as they're saying both at Barzani, the leader of the Iraqi Kurds as well as some comments from Baghdad just saying, "Yeah, we're not doing that." uh foreign minister Iraqi from Iran was also talking to some of his Kurdish counterparts and they say no we're not going to do that. Uh it's less clear if the Iranian Kurds are going to do anything or not. There's some possibility of that but you got to understand that is a small infantry force and and it's not going anywhere. It doesn't have any of the enables. They're not marching on anything. They may can do some stuff in their region. That's about the extent of it. Uh the other thing is the uh the price of oil stays high. It's at last time I checked just before coming on the air here it was $91 up $1 from the time we checked yesterday. This is causing huge problems. There's just been uh an increase in the price of a gas gallon of gasoline in the United States. A huge increase uh the the the biggest increase in the shortest amount of time I saw in a news headline last night that we've ever had, which is saying something because there have been a few oil shocks in the past, but apparently the speed with which this has gone up uh is alarming. And believe me, that's one thing that President Trump pays attention to more than anything because that is one that that affects literally everything. Not not just because it affects the price of gas uh for every consumer, every voter, and it's going up. And he has basically made his mark on convincing everybody that he's made the price of gas go down. And now then if as a result of his war of choice, now all of a sudden the price of gas is skyrocketing and going up, that's going to be a big problem with his already low poll numbers heading into the midterms for his party. So he's got to do something to try and reverse that. That's why I fear he may do something uh crazy here by saying look we're going to have this big strike tonight and just and I was all especially alarm alarmed that he mentioned in that truth social he's going to spread it to areas and people that he had not attacked up to this point and look we started off with all the military targets what are you going to expand to I mean there's already been a schools girl a schoolhouse of girls that has been hit 150 kids and teachers have been killed uh you've had uh some hospitals have been hit uh other civilian targets have been hit and a number of military targets too. So there has been both. But if you're already hitting these kinds of non-military strikes, what's next? What is what have you not attacked that you're going to attack so far? And why would you have not hit some of these critical military targets at the first? Because the idea is normally you're going to say you're going to hit the most crucial v modes first, the the most vulnerable targets first, the ones that can cause you the most damage first. And so we've done that for now a week. Well, where are you going to expand to now? because you've taken out all the ones that are considered the most important. Now you're going to go to secondary targets and secondary criteria. What are those criteria? Because it sounds almost like you're talking about maybe more civilian stuff. And we have bragged at length about how we don't target uh civilians in the aftermath of this strike that killed the kids at the school. Uh you know, we kept saying, "Well, I we don't know what happened yet, but we know we don't target those." Well, is that going to change? because President Trump seems to indicate that he's about to do something different and hold categories and peoples to use his words that weren't attacked before. So, I have some concerns about that. And listen, this idea about having a ground force um that that's that's just that is a non-starter to say the least. And instead of me explaining to you why, I want to get into our normal feature this day, especially for our new viewers, uh welcome to this. We always do on Saturday, uh an intelligence brief we call it. and where we give you the best of what we have learned this past week. We started off today with an update because of the dynamic events going on right now. But uh I want to get into some of those things now because they have direct relevance to what we're talking about here. Yesterday we had Scott Ritter on and we asked him specifically about the issue of boots on the ground. >> When you landed in the Middle East, the ports went under attack, the airfields went under attack. you were able to come off, join up with your equipment in a very controlled, nonviolent fashion, move to your assembly area and begin the war. Everything all up. >> If you tried to do that today, um you're not going to make it. We There's no ports we can go into. There's no airfields we can land at. And when we get on the ground, we'll be hit by uh drones. We'll never be able to assemble. And we don't have the force structure. We have We do not have the ability to put 500,000 boots on the ground today in that theater. We >> don't have 500,000 boots on the ground. >> Bingo. So, >> period. >> So, everybody out there saying that we can do this, that, and the other thing. You literally have no idea what you're talking about. >> And I couldn't have added anything more to that. We have no idea what they're talking about. And and he went on to extension. And by the way, we certainly uh recommend you go and watching that video. You can see it on our on our channel here. um the the full extent fantastic things that he talked about uh on as well. Uh but that that really gets to the heart of it though. There is no alternative. There is no option to go in there. And I think I've shown you the the video of the or the imagery of the terrain and how incredibly difficult that it would be. Uh I wonder if I still have that up here. Yeah, I do want to show you one part of this uh specifically as it relates to the Kurds because that's where anything that that is talking about in the near term they're talking about from the Kurds. And let's just zoom out a little bit here. This is the uh here's the region uh that we're talking about. And of course, here is Iran. These areas here, this is this is Herbiel uh and Dook. These are the areas, the Kurdish regions of Iraq. Even if something were to come from here or uh or the Iranian or the uh Kurds on the Iranian side, they would be in this area here that kind of covers this whole geographic area here. I mean, you got to look are are these people anyone this infantry force, are they going to march on Tehran? I mean, you see how far Tan is from there and it's all through this open terrain uh through mountains. You would literally have to cross mountain. You mean just look at some of that. Let me give you the the 3D version of that so you can see just how much of the terrain is here. I mean, you would have to go over all of these mountains through and you see that there's no path here. It's not like there there are routes that lead straight into the direction of uh of Thrron. You would have to go over mountains or way around them or through valleys and all the way up through here. And of course, that creates choke points. And by the way, no one talks about it much because there's no been no discussion at this point about having uh a ground incursion. Iran has a military. They have the IRGC. They have a besiege force, which is kind of like a militia force, and then they have a regular army force, and then of course the police. They have different categories for all this. And they have I I think that Larry Johnson told us a total military force of over a million when you add all those categories together. Uh you're not going to send a few thousand Kurds to go into that most unforgiving territory and have them not slaughtered. It it would just be a bloodbath. They're not going to go. That's one of the reasons. Maybe there's some political reasons, too. But for the Iraqi Kurds, they're like, "We're not wanting to go and just become fodder for you and literally just get slaughtered." I mean, they're not going to do that. It's not out of the goodness of their heart. They just don't want to do anything. It's not going to make any sense. Uh so that's that's the the issue on the ground here. So there is no logical path to go there. So everything is going to get down to will the Iranian people submit? Will this whatever is coming tonight, will it be so much bigger than everything else that finally it causes the Iranian people to just say, "All right, you know what? We give up. We surrender. We submit to your requests for totalitarian uh surrender." You know, total surrender as you're asking for it here. Well, what you're seeing on the screen right now, uh this is another I think these are happening literally every night so far. Massive progovernment uh protests. This is not one of those deals where we like to convince ourselves sometimes. Oh, well, they're being forced into the street and they were bust in there by the government. Folks, this is real. This is live here. What's going on? And if you think, oh, well, you're just misinterpreting that. Let's hear from a few Iranians themselves. We're going to start off with another interview that we had this week uh with Nema uh of Dialogue Works. He's got a great channel of his own who was in Iran at the time of these the uprising that we tried to use to topple the regime in the early January and he had this to say. When I was in Tehran, it was reported that a quarter of the ambulances were burned were destroyed during the protest. Who can understand this s sort of protest? It was all manipulated from outside. It was obvious what is going on and what made it more even more obvious it was since the con since the Iran started you know the they caught the internet connection with outside and then everything stop >> country is that a possibility that the people would turn against the current government >> no single iota of possibility of that sort because the people today understand that you know it's so amazing to me that You know, even outside of the Iran, you know, we had this US Treasury Secretary Besson saying that the what was happening in Iran, the protest, then riots, it was all because of the sanction and the pressure, the economic pressure on Iranian people. And to those people in Iran, it was a colonel, it was a fraction of the society. is I would say less than 10% of the society. They were not happy with the situation with because they they understood what's going on, what's at stake for the Iranian society. The people majority of the people, let's put it this way, they're not happy with the economy and the way that the economy works. But when they these protests turned into riots, the people many people understood what's going to this is not what I'm want to do. I don't want to set the things on fire. I don't want to destroy anything. Then what I'm understanding today, this is totally delusional that they feel the people in Iran would come out would do some the heavy lifting for the Trump administration to overthrow the government. That is not going to happen. You know, and we we've talked about this before. There is just this caricature view in the White House and in the elite of America that views the Iranian people as as the the almost like this unified mass of what we perceive them to be, what we want them to be. And we want them to be an easy malleable uh entity. We want it to be a single entity that we can just easily manipulate to do what we want. And that we perceive and that we have just decided among in our own mind that you know what all you got to do is pressure them enough and put enough uh pain on them, kill enough of them, everything is going to be fine and they'll do what you want and they'll roll over of course and then we can have a big celebration and all this kind of stuff. Yeah. But can you and so you see there uh that they're not number one they're not this unified mass. They are individuals and they have different interest and they have different levels of of concern. But the in the issue that you also have to understand is why would we think that by killing enough of them and and blowing up their country and their their defense capabilities and all these kind of things that it's going to cause one section of that country to rise up against another. Would we do the same? Let's say it's January 2021 and there is a riot going on at the US capital and people are storming the capital because the Republicans are absolutely convinced that the election was stolen and that they want their rightful uh winner President Donald Trump to be crowned as the victor and so they're going in there. Now imagine if say China came in and says oh my gosh there is uh the how unre there was a there's an attempted coup going in the United States. Well, we're going to take out we're going to take out Joe Biden because he cheated. He was he was trying to usurp and take over control of that and we we're going to join the protesters in America and so that they can now rise up and overthrow the the the Biden and all their folks and then they'll they'll uh they'll be able to take control and everything will be fine. We'll set it right. Uh, and so we'll kill enough Democrats and enough of the military forces in the United States and then that way all you protesters, you'll get your way. How how many of those conservative people who were protesting who were just living and were literally beating policemen and some even were killed later on to get into the to the capital to try to change the outcome. How many of that mob do you think would have said, "Thank you, China. That's cool, man. Yeah, kill a bunch of people here. then we'll be able to get in. We'll get the Biden guys out and the the rightful end will come. Two thumbs up to you, China. I mean, we we would to say we would be livid is a gross understatement. America as one would rise up and say, "No, nobody comes in and tells us what to do. We can have our squables, but you're not going to tell us what to do." That's what Nema is telling you right now. It's it's expected. That's normal human nature. cultures are are different in many ways, but the the core of it, the human nature at its at its essence is the same. They're no different than we are, and they are proving it on the ground right now. One other thing I'll share with you, uh CBS News yesterday posted an interview that they had with someone who was part of those protests uh in in January, was absolutely against the regime, doesn't like it at all, but he has a similar view that Nema did. Watch this. I was in the protest, but I am not going to allow anybody else to come and destroy my homeland because I am against my government. It's my problem. >> I cannot stand that. The issue that my my friends outside of Iran, they are trying to bring war to the country to change the regime so that they can come back to Iran but at the cost of the people who are living in Iran. Even when you sleep, you don't know what will happen tomorrow or even what will happen during the night. I was forced to to leave Iran. Why I was forced to do that? They dropped bomb on this. They attacked this part of the sea. Oh, let me call my uncle. Maybe they they are living in that region. Let me call my aunt. Are they alive? This is not a situation that brings peace is really scary. >> And listen, that's that shouldn't have been hard to figure out. That's part of the problem that the current administration has is that they have so few relevant leaders and experts at the top that could have easily predicted this. Uh uh Dr. Robert Pap of University of Chicago has done extensive uh history and research on this topic. Uh and he has released a bunch of things. I think we showed you one earlier this week where he lays out that this was entirely predictable. And there's another piece I think he has out today. hadn't had a chance to find it where he's saying listen uh this is entirely predictable and when you look at history and he listed several examples he said there is a 0% chance that this was ever going to work. It was known ahead of time and it should have been self-evident. By the way, we're going to have Dr. Pap on our show this week. So, look forward to that in the coming week. Watch the the lineup that we have coming in. Um that's not our only problem though. We have some additional problems where we're trying to uh just wish problems away. And I've already shown you about the interceptor issue and the the the uh the depletion of the most crucial types and c categories of weapons. We have the reduction already of our radar systems which is going to cause the limitation of the other things that we do have lesser quality of things but we have a lot of volume and so we may try to overcome uh in accuracy with volume that never has any good. It's like so we're looking at everything that's happened. You see what Nema has said. You see what Gary was showing you from, I think just last night in in Iran where all of our actions so far has had the opposite effect of what was hoped for. Well, there's additional problems on top of that, too. And that is our ability to defend Israel and to defend our uh our own allies and our own forces in the region as well. And there's been these claims. They have repeated them. They were demonstrated as being false in the 2025 12-day war. And now they're being shown again that this 90% intercept rate uh is just not true. And we had back on like we've had uh before our resident expert from MIT, Professor Ted Postol. >> This is an engagement uh that uh has occurred over Israel. And um what you'll see is this is the second sequence. You see an actual intercept. So this is important because what it demonstrates is we can see intercepts when they occur. So the question is given that we can see intercepts very rarely why are we you know the in other words the intercept rate is extremely low as I've been finding in the past and uh it continues to be very low. So we I mean I showed you that graphic that the interceptors themselves uh could be depleted within four to five weeks and maybe because the volume is less say 8 to nine weeks let's just say but may double 10 weeks or so you're seeing that already even with the an adequate inventory of what we have they're just not being that effective. I mean look folks this is a lot of this is not even interpretive. It's right there in front of your face. You see the videos, the the the interceptors go up, missiles come down. They don't stop them. There's been a few where you actually see the interceptor go up and it goes right past the missile. I think we showed one on the air while Professor Postal was on the air with us. We showed one of those. It was a daylight shot. Uh and you can see the interceptor go up and the uh the missile went right past it, slammed right into the ground. So that's continuing to happen here, which means that Iran will continue to be able to cause economic damage and hardship to Israel. uh economic damage if they attack our our uh the the regional allies. They can do that. But if they even now just limit it to our bases in the region, our military assets, they're going to continue to hit our stuff. And if they taken out our radars, then other uh other assets are going to become more vulnerable than they are. But the bottom line is you're not going to be able to compel them. Whatever Trump does tonight, it it just has virtually no chance to succeed. People just don't react to that. it almost in fact always that I can see it galvanizes them even more firmly and then there comes a point to where it doesn't matter how hard you hit me we're never going to give up the Ukraine side is in that position right now there by all rational analysis they should have had a negotiated settlement years ago but definitely right now there's no military path to them to even survive and yet they will not give up that's what happened to the Nazis in World War II after the the battle of Kursk in 1943 everything was going backwards from that point and there was no rational military path for them to avoid defeat and yet they just didn't stop even when it got up to the German border even when it was clear now that they're moving in around the capital city of Berlin they never gave up. So there's no evidence to suggest there's that that's going to happen with the Iranian side here. But it looks like that President Trump is not going to accept that. He's going to try anyway. Well, he has an additional problem. And if this this one fails tonight too, like it almost surely will, he's going to have to have some domestic issues. Now, I mentioned that the price of oil was continuing to go up and according to what we can see in the straight of Hormuz, it's still effectively closed. They they have not uh they don't have a hard close on it, but they still have attacked enough ships and given enough warning that the thing is continuing to stay shut down. So, there's only a trickle of of uh data coming across there. you see only a few bleeders that are coming across in the current day and that is uh that's that's a big problem. That's what the normal traffic looks like as you see on the screen here. But now then it's just a few bleeders there. There's some that are going through. I saw a report yesterday that some Chinese tankers were miraculously able to get through without being attacked. Uh and they made it out. So uh there is some but it's it's very few. There's talk Trump said earlier this week about using the Navy to escort them. So far, no one's willing to accept the escort because they believe they would be attacked anyway. So, they don't want to do that. Which means the price of bullets continue to go up. So, President Trump has some real problems because the price of gasoline at home has gone way up. And he campaigned on that and he is campaigning in for the the midterm elections on keeping the price of gas low. Well, he can't suffer that and and have any chance to succeed. He's already going to be up against long odds anyway. So now it looks like he's trying to figure some things out. At the same time, he's also facing the domestic backlash on uh on his promise not to get into dumb wars, not to start wars of choice. I mean, he I could show you scores of of videos over the years where he said that, especially leading into 2024, but last night on uh on Fox News on the Laura Ingram show, you had a very pro- Trump representative uh Ronnie Jackson, who used to be Trump's doctor, incidentally. So, you can see that uh he's very much in Trump's hand. And and if you remember earlier this week, we we gave the inaugural uh 1984 prize, the George Orwell prize to Mike Johnson because he was saying this is not a war even though it's right in your face. It's not the one of the runners up. We we now realize there was somebody else competing for that prize and it's Dr. Ronnie Jackson explaining how this is not a violation of what Trump said. >> President Trump came in, he said he wasn't going to, you know, he wasn't going to get an endless war. He's not. This is what this is about. This is preventing an endless war to be honest with you, right? The these are people that the longer we let this go on, the more powerful they were going to get and the more long-term threat they were going to be for us. >> Right. So, Congressman, just yes or no. So, you do not think this is a big rift in the MAGA community or among conservatives. >> I do not. And I think the more we explain this, the more everyone will see what's going on. >> Yeah. The more you explain, the more they'll see what's going on. Not quite what you think. See, you're trying to talk people out of what their eyes see, what logic and common sense tell them. You said no wars of choice, and you chose this. And it is, you can look at any poll and people see that no one felt that this was an imminent threat. That the people have been going beside themselves all over the media that are allies of President Trump to try and convince everybody that there was an imminent threat. And my god, they were coming after us. And people are going, "What? After 47 years, they never did any of this? And you're trying to tell me there was an imminent threat somehow after the 12-day war after you obliterated their nuclear weapons program that they were now a week away as Whit said it's just not passing a common sense test and it's an insult to people in America to ask them to continue to believe something that is just patently untrue and self-evidently so. That's part of the problem. So is if you keep going on with your military force here and if you keep killing a bunch of civilian people because that's in the American news too. They're having to address it now that all these kids were killed in the first strikes and now whatever's coming tonight. I mean, you could just compound that. Well, unfortunately, there's one other compound that we have and that is and if if you again were having any fantasies of hope that the Iranian people would would submit to to this pressure and this pain, you've given them another reason to avoid it. Remember as before I show you what I'm about to show you here, the whole issue with Venezuela where we stole their their president and then we stole their oil. So people in Iran are well aware of that. Everybody in the world is aware of that. Well, now it looks like we're trying to repeat that mistake as well as here is this ally of President Trump uh talking about the Iranian oil. >> This is a long-term game because what we want to do is get such massive oil reserves in Iran out of the hands of terrorists. And so and so what we're going to experience here in the short term is highly outweighed of the long-term benefit because ultimately we're not going to have to worry about these issues in the straight of Hermuz because we're going to get all of the oil out of the hands of terrorists. >> Okay. So you're going to get all of the oil out of the hands of the terrorist. So what do you think the people of Iran are going to do with that? This that they're saying, "Okay, this is not about regime change per se. This is not about nuclear program. It's not about long range missiles. You just want to steal our oil the same way you were stealing Venezuela's oil. How can they come to any other conclusion of that? So this is a literal understand this folks. This is central to understanding the failure of our strategy here. We are giving the Iranian people, their government, they're they're just a regular people an existential crisis like your literal survival as a nation. We want to destroy the government of Iran and we want to take its oil assets just like we took the assets of another country already. They're not going to give into that. They will never surrender to that. And there are compounding problems with that too in the region. What What do we think that the Chinese are going to think about this? What what do we think that the Russians are going to think about this? At the moment, the Russians are like, "We're still keeping a wary eye on this." And apparently, they're still helping them with some uh humanitarian supplies. We no one knows for sure what's involved with that. China as well. Russia is benefiting this because the price of oil goes up. So, they went from 67 to 91. So, they are loving it because every day they have more money. And of course, that's making Europe more angry because they're saying, "Why did you start?" This is what they're saying privately. They're not saying it publicly. So publicly they are still behind President Trump. But I guarantee you behind the scenes they are seething angry because they say look we have this process. We're trying to get to the removal of all the Russian oil to harm them so they get less money less revenue. And now here you've done something that not only has increased the revenue that they get from the oil they sell now then Besson said I think it was yesterday there's a 30-day pause on the sanctions. So now then Russia can sell some of its oil I think to India primarily but apparently to some other customers as well but no matter which one it is now Russia just imagine this. So Russia now is able to sell more oil at a higher price. So they're starting to get flush with some cash here. So Europe is is just living with that. Ukraine of course is even more so. They're more angry about it. Zolinsky this week was also asked to to give some of his drone interceptor drones that he has that that go after the Garin 136 that the Iranians use similar to the I'm sorry the Shahed 136 that the Iranians use similar to the Garens Garens one and two that the Russians use and it's apparently quite good but it's it's not at they don't make them at scale so there's not that many but even then he's saying I'll give them to you but I want something in return I want some PAC two and PC three interceptor missiles and I want some political considerations dude you're not getting any of that I mean we could talk about that. We could do a whole show on on what's going on with the Russia stuff. That war is also lost because no one is willing to acknowledge reality and we're living in fantasy land to include the Ukrainian side. But unfortunately, I can't just accuse the Ukrainian side of living in fantasy land. I got to look up the street here in Washington DC because we are just we have just lost it there. There is really no uh end to this that I can see. you you have set yourself on a course that you're not going to achieve. First it was regime change. Then it was we're going to destroy all their missiles. We've shown you Gary keeps showing that video and there's now new videos out about how the the Iranian side has foreseen this and has scattered throughout its country the ability to launch missiles without having to bring their mobile launchers out without any fixed sites uh without even the silos that we knew about just out of the side of a mountain just out of dirt. No one even knows where it is. It's very very much like the submarines that have submarine launch missiles that just come up out of the sea out of nowhere. Same kind of situation, same concept. We can't hit that because we don't even know where they are. So, you're not going to knock out their ability to fire however much you may wish to do so. Apparently, there's some new technology uh that I heard about this morning, Josh, that there's we have some satellites that are now watching this area here, and they have loitering uh aerial uh uh fighter pilots over the area. whenever the uh the satellite detects some kind of a launch or some kind of movement, they can quickly vector over a plane that's maybe not very far away and maybe take the thing out there, especially if it's a mobile launcher. Uh they can get that, but there's the Iranians are probably not going to use that many more of those for the very reasons here. Uh they don't have to. They can do stuff like what you're seeing on the screen now. So, there's every evidence that Iran can can drag this out for a long time. They are using a sustained rate, it appears to me, of their missiles. Uh they claim they haven't even used their best stuff yet. They're waiting probably until that depletion of the air defense missiles gets even lower to give them a higher chance of getting to their targets. We'll see if that turns out to be true or not. But we do know that the evidence suggests that they can go for a long time, a lot more than five or six weeks at least. We'll see. And then and this is that's just the missiles. There's also the drone issues and uh they have tens of thousands of those by many reports. So, we can't militarily destroy them unless you go in with a nuclear weapon. God help us if that's even in the mind of President Trump. I I I I even mention it because it would seem to be just an obvious no. I nothing is obvious right now. When you see a guy who's desperate because he's he's undertaken a strategy that can't succeed and he's visibly seeing it's not succeeding. He's panicking. He's bringing another aircraft carrier. He's talking about even having some kind of a ground operation. And now that he's talking about this big huge package of something that's coming in tonight to try and force by certain death, he loves to use that phrase. And if that doesn't succeed, what's he going to do? Because he has the pressure from his own population already because they don't like the war itself. You you have the the price of gasoline going up and there's no reason that's going to be coming down anytime soon. You've got the anger from the allies in the region. You've got anger from the allies in Europe, which is it can't have any help but to harm the Ukraine side because now then there will be even less missiles. And I can imagine that Russia's pretty soon going to start taking advantage of that. I can imagine you'll start seeing some more of these massive 7 800 uh missile and drone uh barges going across because there's nothing not going to be anything to drop them down or not not anything of any substance. That's why Zalinski is begging for pack two and pack three because he doesn't have enough. And if now he doesn't even have the little that he had, if that starts running out, you can see that this can have cascading effects everywhere. So, I worry that President Trump may, you know, consider using nuclear weapons here. I I you just can't rule it out, unfortunately, because he's running out of options. and and whatever is coming tonight and let's say that it's two or three nights in a row. If that hasn't changed anything and you still see the Iranian people out proh supporting their government, you still see the government saying we're not giving in. Uh you you can't kill them all and you have this massive country that's four times bigger than Iraq that's, you know, orders of magnitude bigger than the the Palestinian people in the Gaza Strip. They were never brought to their knees. There's no reason to think these proper. What you going to do then? that that is the the difficulty that Trump has painted himself into. I went on another show this morning and you know they started off by saying well it's self-evident that the American side is definitely winning right now but can it and I said I I I don't accept that premise. We have the greater firepower advantage. That much is certain. But we are not winning if because in a war the only thing the firepower does is to try and compel the other side to submit to your terms. And if you don't have enough firepower to physically destroy them all, then you're reliant on their political will, on their human will to be able to submit. But if they don't, then it doesn't matter how much firepower you have. You're not going to drop them down. So you're not going to succeed. So you're not going to win. And now then you see that there are consequences with their regional allies and at home with his domestic supporters that he must have because otherwise if he if he gets wiped out in the midterms and it's increasingly looking like he will, he's not going to get anything done the last two years except for have to go to trial every other day to for all the impeachment hearings that will guaranteed come. And there is plenty of things that he is putting on the ground to to make that a case. There'll be plenty of fodder for that. You can be sure of that. He knows it and that's why he is so terrible. So the overall arc of all this folks, it is not good for our side. As bad as the Iranian side is suffering right now and they are suffering egregiously. Thousands of people apparently have been killed. I don't know what the current number is right now. It was over 1,200. The last I saw about 24 hours ago. And God only knows what it may be after tonight. If President Trump is true to his word and there is this big strike or you know a week from now, three weeks from now, three months from now, it's going to be terrible. But if at the end of the day our empire could collapse on itself because of all the the consequence that happens after this uh and the harm done to our reputation and economically at home. This could go really bad here and ultimately we could end up being harmed commensurately more than the Iranian side. And I think that they are aware of that and I think that that is why they are just solidified that says no matter what the cost we're never going to give up thinking that we are going to be harmed fatally before they will. It's a test. Are they right? Is the United States right? Am I wrong? Only time will tell. But what I can tell you with absolute certainty is that the price paid for humanity on both sides of this is going to be very, very high. None of it should ever have happened. There was never a possibility for this to go good. It's all negative. It was It was self-evidently negative before and now it's manifesting itself in very very ugly ways. Thank you very much, folks. Oh, I'm sorry. No, there was one other thing we did want to talk about. Gary had something. Um, this is not a good sign here. This is President Trump uh yesterday at the White House. Um and you see he has invited Condlesa Rice you along with uh the current uh Susie Wilds here the the chief of staff and you go why is Condisa Rice in the in the White House right now advising President Trump we showed you yesterday where she was on Fox News giving her two cents about uh you know what we should be doing and and how President Trump is right. the same woman that trotted out all the lies and gave all the backing to the 2003 war which was never going to succeed which was always based on a lie the WMD and everything that followed along after that turned out to be huge disaster for our country and that's the advisory you want to drag into the White House now I mean yeah she's I guess if you're trying to have a a build a false scenario that try to get people to believe it I guess she does have some experience at that but man the results were sure pretty bad so I'm not sure why we would be going with that uh one last thing that I want to show you too is uh we of course President Trump is a Republican and the conservatives are in charge of all this stuff and you might be tempted to think well it's just the the Republicans just the conservatives uh that are like this and probably all the Democrats are against it all the liberals are against it. Well not quite. So, here is a very interesting take uh by Bill I think it's Bill Moyers, right? Bill Moyers. Uh yeah, watch this. >> Bill Maher. >> Bill Maher. Sorry, I messed that up. But still, watch this. >> I'm cautiously optimistic. Unless he puts boots on the ground, then he's going to lose me. We'll see. For now, um I just don't get what liberals don't get about liberation. I see so much happiness. I see it in Venezuela. I see it here in Iran. Um, could we skip the part where we talk about, oh, they had so many different reasons for going to war, regime change, and we got to get rid of the nukes, and they were supporters of terrorism. It's all of it. How about this? This was a fascist theocracy, and nothing in the Middle East was ever going to get better while they were still there everything up. >> It's an American problem, as you can see. But let's take a few things in there in piece by piece. The first one, look at all the liberation in Venezuela. Really, Venezuelans are celebrating in the street because they have been liberated. Have they now? Because all I saw was a two-hour military operation of the snatch and grab which was coordinated on the inside by a backstabbing vice president apparently according to what we can see uh Dulce Rodriguez where she basically handed over on a silver platter Maduro and his wife. So they were spirited out of the country and then they re they stay in power to this day. everything that Maduro had built and all of his vast empire and all of his the people he had in office in all these different places and people he had assigned and the the bad things that were happening for his country are all still in place. Nothing has changed for the people. I I've got a friend of mine who escaped from the Maduro regime who lives here in the Washington DC area and asked him what he thought and he said yeah nothing has changed at all. It's it's just exchanging one bad leader for the next one but all of the apparatus is still in place. There's no change at all. no celebrating, no liberation. So, the fact that he's using that as a justification for going here and and then of course we get into all the things that this uh you know they're they're this theocratic regime and they're this terrible people and and then he call it just waves off all the same. It's not just the nuclear weapons, it's not just the the missiles. It's kind of all that. But s really it gets down to the fact that they have a governing philosophy we don't like. So, let's just go kill them and just drive them out and then liberate those people like you I guess you're going to liberate their oil too. Uh and of course and and one of the things I don't think we had it in that uh that clip we showed from uh Nema earlier uh in this show here from yesterday. uh you know he talked about listen for for the Iranian people we're going all the way back to what happened in 1953 with the CIA backed coup that took out our legally elected leader and put in uh the Shaw of Iran uh Raza and and you know just literally raped the country of their oil wealth and handed it over to the west and then just had this terrible I mean you talk about a murderous regime the Ayatollah is genuinely guilty of a lot of things and he has done a lot of uh protests, suppression, killed a lot of people, imprisoned people, tortured and all that. I'm sure there's a lot of truth to that. But apparently that either was matched or even exceeded by the Shaw first. And he's and Nema told us that's the reason why they had the revolution in the first place because they actually wanted to have a liberation. They wanted to be free. And then of course they got a a bill of goods when they got the guys that were in charge. It didn't quite work out that way. But that they're all saying that we want our own selves to have our own government, our own leadership, and we'll be the ones that are going to do it. Nobody's going to force it on us from the outside. But Bill Maher doesn't care about that. Cont. Mike Pompeo, Jack Keane, apparently President Trump at all. All these people we've been showing you, these merchants of death, all they want is as an asset. They don't care how many people die in the process to get it. And that's what we're trying to get here. I showed you that that soundbite from just last night. It's about their oil. We're trying to go after the oil. We want to take control of it away from it's not about freeing the people. It's not about liberation. And I don't know why people like Bill Mayer think that's what it is. Uh when it's when we're signaling out loud that it's not and we demonstrated in Venezuela that's what it wasn't. What What's wrong with these people, man? I mean, you can have a liberal idea and you could want people to be free. I do, too. I do. I want everybody to have freedom in their country and I don't like it when they don't. But it doesn't work to go in and say, "Well, I don't like this oppressive regime, so I want to go and kill all these people and then I'm going to put people that I want in charge and if they have to suppress them, that's cool as long as I get their resources." That's what this is all about, folks. I mean, as ugly as that sound, the evidence is screaming it at us in the face. That's exactly what's happening here. Problem is with this one, I don't think it's going to succeed. I think we're going to kill a lot of people and cause profound destruction both in Iran and throughout the region. And at the end of the day, we're going to have more chaos and violence than before. We're going to have failed or we're going to have the risk of doing something incredibly stupid. The second most stupid thing we can do is to say, you know what, we're going to go in on the ground and do this, right? So-called and we're going to assemble an army of half a million people and then we're going to go in and invade in in six months from now or something like that. the the number one worst is that we try to do it the easy way and say we'll just drop a tactical nuclear here and uh explain it to them the same way we did to Japan in 1945. That'll get their attention. One small tactical nuclear weapon will work and if we don't we'll hit a second one until just like the Japanese they figure it out then everything will be fine. I worry about that that people may be thinking that inside the White House. Don't know if they are, but given the history and their their propensity, I think that it's probably on some people's minds. We'll continue to watch this for you folks. Stay here. If there's anything that does happen overnight, even on a Sunday, we'll be with you live uh to to let you know what's happening. Uh you can always come here for updates because we are unintimidated and uncompromising. We will bring you the truth no matter what it is, no matter how ugly, because you deserve to know. Thank you very much and we'll see you on the next episode of the Daniel Davis Deep Dive. You know, I don't try to talk you into buying gold or tell you how to run your stock portfolio, but there is a way you can help us. Subscribe, hit that like button, and share this with somebody you love.

** NEW MERCH ** Jackets & Sweatshirts, Thermo Mugs!! Daniel Davis Deep Dive Merch: Etsy store https://www.etsy.com/shop/DanielDavisDeepDive?ref=seller-platform-mcnav