5061, How Can Iranians Take Back Power Without Guns?

Good afternoon. I'm still reporting on no guns in Iran. According to good sources, the USIsrael coalition took out the top 40 members of Iran's leadership yesterday in the opening minute of the war due to outstanding intelligence work. Iran's population is about 90 million people. But the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps or IRGC, Iran's elite military force that reported to the Supreme Leader, has an estimated strength of between 125,000 and 190,000 members. A smaller subset of the IRGC is the Cuds Force with between 5,000 and 15,000 handpicked elite operators. A paramilitary volunteer group under the IRGC control is huge. Between 90,000 and 450,000. So that's between 215,000 and 640,000 men under arms for domestic control. And guns is the subject of my little dissertation today. this morning. The next in line to take Ayatollah Ali Kam's place is probably his 56-year-old son, Mojaba Kam, known as a shadowy hardline cleric with IRGC ties, and he is one of many in the line of succession among the Mullas, the religiously driven cleric crowd. Another likely candidate is Ahmad Vehadi, the IRGC deputy chief on the eve of the war. In fact, the IRGC announced this morning that this man has been appointed as the new leader. Bottom line is these people aren't going away voluntarily. They will die for their religious and political beliefs. So the bottom line is we are probably going to have to take them out to return to a civilian popular governance in Iran. But in order to do that, President Trump is going to have to go up against the communist ladies of the US Trump derangement group who have just begun to fight. You can slough them off as the lunatic fringe of the USA, but at your political peril, especially with midterm elections coming up in November. Now, here's another problem. Last month, there was a mass slaughter in the streets of Iran. The US news operations claimed the death toll was around 35,000. However, the older Iranian protesters who were on the scene have consistently claimed the death toll was 100,000 or more. The problem I'm trying to get at is that the IRGC and other Mulla Intel operations would have certainly killed off all the leaders, the ones with the guts to get out there and lead these crowds during this mass slaughter. So who is left? People who are less experienced and less bold. Can they take over from the Mullers under these circumstances? Unlikely. And here is the most important reason why. No guns. The civilian population of Iran has one of the smallest percentages of guns per person in the world. 7.3 civilian firearms per 100 people. Plus, those civilians in possession of firearms typically have strict permissions, very specific needs requiring strict licensing. Concealed carry licenses are even more restrictive. Recent laws have imposed even harsher penalties, often 3 to 15 plus years in prison for possession. During the recent rioting, very few reports of civilian firearms, in fact, none that I know of, were provided. So, the vast majority of civilian protesters were completely unarmed against regime forces who were heavily armed and obviously had no fear of shooting whomever they wanted without fear of reprisal. It is not a fair fight when an unarmed citizenry has to fight against a group armed to the teeth with the latest militarygrade weaponry. On top of that, Trump has only 60 days with a possible extra 30 days before he's got to get out of the country according to the war powers resolution of 1973. Now maybe since very few US military are in country in the first place, maybe that doesn't matter. I don't know. But that's certainly a point of attack for the lefty lenders. So leadership is probably not going to come from the streets. Those people have already been killed off. The most populist alternative, therefore, is his royal highness Resa Palavi, the exiled crown prince of Iran, the son of the now deceased Shaw of Iran, who would probably get 50% of the vote if the election were held today. His problem is that the other 50% hated his father, the Shaw. Another significant player on this stage is a group called the National Council of Resistance of Iran or NCRI who announced yesterday that they have formed a provisional government to transfer sovereignty to the Iranian people and establish a democratic republic in the exact image of the United States government. This group has publicly outlined a 10-point plan for transferring power to their group. Now is the time for solidarity, said their newly elected president, Mariam Razavi. Our strength lies in the unity and cohesion of our people against a religious dictatorship and the remnants of monarchical fascism that seek to steal the democratic revolution. Their 10-point plan includes freedom of speech, freedom of political parties, freedom of religion, freedom of assembly, freedom of the press and the internet, as well as dissolution and disbanding of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, IRGC, the terrorist cuds force, plainlo groups, the unpopular baz, the ministry of intelligence, the Council of the Cultural Revolution and all suppressive patrols and institutions in cities, villages, schools, universities, offices, and factories, as well as disbanding all agencies in charge of censorship and inquisition, as well as the prohibition of torture and the abolishment of the death penalty. So, that all sounds very, very good. However, will the remaining Mulla crowd just slink off into a corner and give up? Very, very unlikely. So, this is not going to be as easy as I thought it would be. I brilliantly figured out that the Israelis and Trump would decapitate the Mullas theocratic dictatorship and then and the remainder would then take off to set up shop on the moon or something like that without further complaint. So this is another really tough problem that only a President Trump can solve and we pray that he has the stamina to accomplish that mission in the provided time. My best bet at this point is to give the reigns is to give the reigns of power to the Sha's son Reza Palavi. He announced today that he would oversee the process, but would need two years to sort it out. That fits in with Trump's timeline because he'll be leaving in three years. Prince Reszo would give his promise not to promote himself into the job, but only be a placeholder and overseer of the process until a democratic republic form of governance could be proposed and then voted into office by a nationwide ballot. Prince Reza is the only one with a legitimate bloodline in this game. But that's Trump's call and we'll be watching and rooting for him. I'm still reporting from just outside the Citadel of World Freedom. Good day.

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