How Iran can Paralyze the West in One Move - Prof. Jiang Xueqin

I hope everyone had a nice break and welcome back to the end of the world. So, as you know, World War II has started. United States and Israel have started to attack Iran and we are now in the fourth day of this war. And we can expect this war to last for many weeks, possibly also for many years. But I promise you that after this war is done, the world will never be the same again. In the early morning of Saturday in Tran, the Israelis and Americans launched a decapitation strike against the Alatona Hami who is the supreme leader of Iran. Now there are arguments and and disputes about as to what happened. The Americans and Israelis said that they had real intelligence about where the leader was and so they sent airplanes to just bomb the crap out of a place. They also had a spy who was able to record the body of the dead Aatollah and then this was announced. At first the Iranians denied this and the Iranians insisted he was still alive. But eventually state media admitted that he did die in the air strike. But then what they also said is that they had to 86 years old and he chose to die. He could have gone to Moscow but instead he chose to stay in Tran and die for his people. But not only that, but he died along many of his relatives. He died along with his daughter, his son-in-law, his grandchildren. So the entire So many of the family died in this assault. Also, there's been reporting that he had prostrate cancer. Okay? So he was going to die fairly soon as well. So what you need to understand first about the war is that even though the Americans and Israelis claimed great success in decapitating the leadership of the Iranians from the Iranian perspective this is a martyrdom martyrdom. Okay. So the religion of the Iranians is called Shia Muslim. And this is different from Sunni Muslim. So uh Sunnis are majority about 9% of all Muslims in the world. The Shia have always been the minority and as such they've always been persecuted. In the Shia faith, the core value, the force that binds everyone together and gives them purpose and meaning in life that galvanizes them into action is the idea of martyrdom which forces jihad. You sacrifice yourself for your religion, sacrifice yourself for the common good. So think of the death of Kam as a sacrifice, a self-sacrifice in order to motivate the radiance in this war. So that's the first thing you need to understand that for the Iranians, this is not a typical war. This is not an economic war. This is not a war of resistance. This is a jihad. Okay? It's a war against the great Satan to avenge their leader. They will fight to the death. Right? That's number one. Number two is this. Also that morning when the Atollah was killed, they really struck a school in the south of Tran killing about 150 school children. These are girls in primary school. And again, there's a lot of debate and argument as to what happened. This really said that first of all, the school was next to a military base. We were targeting military base. And second of all, it wasn't us which struck the school. It was a air defense missile that went off course. And the Iranians insisted, "No, the the Israelis purposefully attacked the school to kill the school children." And then you're like, why would the Israelis do that? But then these few years, well, we've seen what they've done in Gaza in Palestine to the Palestinians, and it's pretty consistent what the Israelis have been doing. So this action against the Israelis, it's meant to show to themselves in the world that we are now allin. Okay, we've made the sacrifice. We are now committed to this war to win this war at all cost. And this action has also provoked the Iranian people to resist with their full might. So I want you to keep this in mind. And again, we don't have complete evidence that it's the Israelis who did this, but given past actions from the Israelis, this is fairly consistent with what they've done. Okay. So we can assume that this is something that do did why they did this what the purpose is something we we will discuss as we move on. Okay it's very complicated. Next I want to show you this. This is Dubai. And Dubai is considered one of the wealthiest safest cities in the world. There are thousands tens of thousands of westerners who move to Dubai because it's clean. You don't pay any taxes. You make a lot of money and you there are great restaurants. And this is really the economic model of Dubai. It's one of the Gulf the GCC countries, okay? The Gulf coastal countries. And for the longest time, Dubai had a really good deal because they were under the protection of the American military. So they didn't have to pay for defense. They and then they were in the Middle East, which is the oil producing um center of the world. And so they focus on aviation, they focus on logistics, they focus on finance, on tourism. They extremely wealthy, right? I'm not sure if you've taken Emirates, one of the best airlines in the world. So their airport, Dubai airport, is the busiest in the world. And Dubai for the longest time was flourishing under American protection. And Dubai said to the world, listen, we're like Switzerland. We're neutral. We don't want any involvement in any wars. We're here just to take care of our citizens, to make sure everyone has a good time, to make money. And then right after the war started, the Iranians attacked the GCC. Dubai, Abu Dhabi, Ban, Qatar, Kuwait. They attacked these places. And these players were like, "What's going on? We're neutral, man. We're not involved in this war." And the airport was shut down in Dubai. at at at one point rich the rich people in Dubai were willing to pay about $250,000 US just get on a plane and get out of there. So the reality is this for the longest time Dubai had a reputation for being safe and that's why people move their money there. Guess what guys after the Iranians did it's dead. Dubai as a city in the long term it is dead because you're a wealthy westerner you're not going to move to a place where it could be attacked any time by the Iranians. You might move to Singapore. You might move to Hong Kong, Japan, South America, but you're not moving to Dubai. So the big question for us is why do I do this? It we say it's really Americans who are tapped. Why go after the GCC? And not only that, but they're escalating the attacks against the GCC. So this is something that we will look at very closely today. Well, the short answer is because these places even though they they pretend to be neutral, they house the American military. They allow the Israel release and Americans to use their airspace to attack Iran from. So this is Bahrain. Now Bahrain is interesting, okay? Because I I want you guys to remember this, but Bahrain will probably be one of the major centers of this conflict because first of all, this is the um American fifth fleet, right? This is their naval base in the Middle East. And as you can see, the Iranians are attacking it with missiles and it's being blown up. brain is interesting because it has about 50% or even more okay Shia which is the religion of the Iranians but the people in charge are the Sunnis and so what is the what makes this strike really important for from our perspective is first of all not only are the Iranians attacking US military assets not only are they destroying the economies of the GCC they're also also trying to ignite a religious war Right? If you're Shia, you're loyal to the Aatollah. If he's dead, then you must as a religious obligation now commit jihad against your enemies. And it's no different in other religions where listen, if you want to kill the Pope, the Catholics would be really angry at you and they would want to kill you, right? So now you have the Shia who will probably eventually arise, creating a revolution in Ban. Okay? So I think Ban will be the first to fall. Dubai will probably go bankrupt. But in the long term, we can expect the entire GCC area including Saudi Arabia to eventually collapse. Okay? And this something we'll use game theory to understand. All right, let's continue. So we will know how this war develops just based on geography. Okay. So this is a map and this map even even if you don't really know the war, even if you don't know the participants, even if you don't know the weaponry, this map will tell you exactly how this war will progress. All right. So some certain things to keep in mind about this map. This is what we call this area. Okay, really small about it's 33 kilometers wide. Okay, people can swim across it. It's really really narrow. Okay, this small area guys, it's called the circle moose. And it's important because it's really the center of the world. This one area is the nexus, the pivot of the world. Let me explain why. First of all, from the GCC, you have 20% of all the world's oil flowing through this narrow straight. Where does it go, guys? It goes to Asia, India, Pakistan, South Korea, China, Japan. India depends on 60% of its oil from this area. China depends on 40%. Japan 75%. Prime Minister Takiichi of Japan has said that listen if the surf closes we run out of oil in about 8 n months the entire Japanese economy would collapse in 8 9 months if the surf moves were to close and guess what the Iranians have closed the surf moves so we can expect that the entire global economy will suffer greatly over the next few months so that's point number one point number two is so the GC sends oil across the sh moves and what do they get back in turn food guys. All right. So people don't appreciate the GCC but it is really the lynch pin of the American empire because what is the American empire? The American empire is the petrol dollar. All right. The idea of the petro dollar is this. The US dollar is worth nothing. It's only valued what people want it. But the GC says that if you want oil from us, you have to pay us in US dollars. Okay. Then that is the basis of the value of the US dollar. So if the GCC collapses, the American economy and the American empire both collapse at the same time. The problem though is the GCC is an artificial construct of empire. It does not exist naturally. Why? Because that's no food. There's no oil, no water. Okay guys, no food, no water. So these cities are able to grow in the millions because of all these petrol dollars flowing in. If you close off the surface of a moose, there's no food coming in. They're all going to starve. How much food does the GCD get from overseas? 80%. 80% of all the food it consumes comes from overseas that it imports. It doesn't grow by itself. It imports. So the river moose is really key. And again, the Iranians will close it in order to strangle the global economy and therefore bankrupt the American empire. Second thing you will notice is these mountains. These mountains is what we call Iran. All right, this is Iran. This is GCC. Okay, this is not a fair matchup, right? Because these are mountains. And what can you do in mountains? Well, you can hide rocket bases. You can hide drone bases. You can hide missiles. And that's the entire Iranian offensive strategy. From here, they can hide missiles and drones from which to attack the GCC. And what are they attacking? They're attacking three things, right? They're attacking American military bases. American military bases. That's number one. Is it possible for Durans to defend against the attacks? The answer is no. THEY'RE NOT. IT'S NOT. It's a serious thing in the world. You have all these bases in the Middle East, but you cannot defend them against the Iranians. That's kind of strange. Okay, but that's number one. Number two is oil and energy. How hard is it to blow up an oil field with a drone? Not hard at all. Can you defend these oil fields? No, you cannot. Number three, and that's most important, is water. You guys don't know this, but the GCC has little access to fresh water. So the only way that it can produce water is what is what we call desalination plants. Okay, these factories that take salt water and then through electrical chemical process turn it into fresh water for the population to use. 60% of the water supply and HC comes from desalination plants. Okay, 60%. Is it hard to blow up the desalination plant using a drone? The answer is it's very easy. You understand? Okay. So, you have this absurd situation where Iran is a mountain fortress where it can hide its offensive capacity and the GCC it's just this desert, this flat desert and it is exposed to attack and there's nothing it can do about it. So at any point in this war, the Iranians can choose to just destroy the entire GCC and there's nothing that anyone can do about it. But Iran also has a weakness. Okay? And this is fundamental. So Iran also has a water problem. Okay? So for the longest time they suffs, okay? Just climate change. And so what the plan of the Israelis Americans is is destroy the water supply of the Iranians because the fortress it it is a mountain fortress but it can also be a mountain prison as well where people are trapped inside with no access to water. Okay. So what we're going to see right now we're we're already seeing attacks on civil infrastructure hospitals. In the future, you will see attacks on water supply, on dams, on reservoirs, on power plants. The point, the idea is to make Iran so inhabitable that the people will will have to rebel against the people or there'll be a refugee crisis in Iran. So, as you can see from this map, this war, it is the end of the world. Both sides have the potential to destroy each other. It's really a question of how far do they want to go? We we can also say this is almost a game of chicken. We can blow we can blow each other up. How far do you want to go? And the problem is this. The problem is that the Iranians are Shia which believes in martyrdom and you've killed the religious leader to K. So they're willing to go very very far. The GC the GC countries are Muslim but they're materialistic. They love money and also most of the population are expatriots, foreigners. 90% of Dubai are foreigners. Guess guess what's going to happen if they suffer? They're going to run away. So this is not a fear matchup.

Check out Prof. Jiang Xueqin's recommended books to supplement his ideas: ► The Divine Comedy (The Inferno, The Purgatorio, and The Paradiso) by Dante Alighieri: https://amzn.to/3NZSkzt ► Anna Karenina by Leo Tolstoy: https://amzn.to/3ZQfsmy ► Confessions of an Economic Hit Man by John Perkins: https://amzn.to/4kskgs4 Check out the Prof. Jiang FULL curated reading list here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1yUE3DASNii2uPBuEcJKzF4iOjVPaU0nVThyaDUPPZWo/edit?usp=sharing The lectures featured on this channel are delivered by Prof. Jiang Xueqin. 🔗 Original lectures & channel: @PredictiveHistory A dramatic escalation in the Middle East raises the possibility that a regional conflict could spiral into a geopolitical shock with global consequences. In this analysis, Prof. Jiang Xueqin examines the implications of a devastating strike on Iran’s supreme leadership and the dangerous chain reaction it could unleash. From the Iranian perspective, the death of a religious leader is not merely a political event but a powerful act of martyrdom within the Shia tradition—one capable of transforming the conflict into a deeply ideological struggle. What outside observers might see as a strategic victory could instead reinforce the narrative of sacrifice and resistance that has historically galvanized Iranian society in moments of crisis. The discussion moves beyond the battlefield to explore how the conflict could destabilize the economic foundations of the Gulf region. Cities like Dubai have long thrived under the assumption of security guaranteed by American military power, attracting global capital, tourism, and expatriate wealth. Yet missile attacks across Gulf Cooperation Council states challenge that perception of stability. If these hubs become vulnerable to sustained attacks on infrastructure, airports, or military installations, the financial confidence that built their prosperity could erode rapidly. In that sense, the conflict threatens not only regional security but the broader economic ecosystem that depends on Gulf stability. At the center of the analysis lies the strategic geography of the Strait of Hormuz—one of the most critical chokepoints in the global energy system. A large portion of the world’s oil flows through this narrow corridor, supplying energy-hungry economies across Asia. Any disruption would ripple through global markets, potentially triggering economic shocks far beyond the Middle East. Prof. Jiang Xueqin explains how both sides possess asymmetric advantages: Here, we transform original content from interviews, lectures, podcasts, and keynotes featuring Prof. Jiang Xueqin to provide viewers with a more immersive and engaging experience. Our goal is to educate and inform as many people as possible about Prof. Jiang Xueqin’s unique economic insights and critiques of global capitalism. We also strive to make Prof. Jiang Xueqin’s ideas more accessible to individuals with hearing impairments by providing professional transcriptions for the majority of our videos. By enhancing the original content with cinematic editing, improved clarity, and added context, we aim to amplify Prof. Jiang Xueqin’s message and help more viewers understand the economic and social issues they address. Fair Use Disclaimer: The videos have no negative impact on the original works. The videos we create are for educational and commentary purposes. The videos are transformative in nature. We primarily use audio components and only minimal video footage when necessary. Copyright Disclaimer: Under Section 107 of the Copyright Act of 1976, allowance is made for “Fair Use” for purposes such as criticism, comment, news reporting, teaching, scholarship, education, and research. Fair use is permitted by copyright statutes that might otherwise be infringing. All rights remain with the original copyright holders. Disclaimer: • Content Context: This video contains discussions of theoretical perspectives and unverified information sourced from public discourse and various news outlets. It is presented solely for educational and informational purposes and should not be regarded as conclusive fact. • Intention of Content: We do not intend to defame, slander, or discredit any individuals or organizations mentioned. The content is designed to foster thoughtful discussion and critical thinking. • Non-Endorsement of Violence: We do not condone or encourage any form of violence described in the content. References to such actions are provided only for historical or analytical context. Our channel is not affiliated with Prof. Jiang Xueqin or any of their organizations and is purely made for entertainment and educational purposes. The content we share is based on facts, public commentary, and interpretations and should not be taken as financial or medical advice.