We can't find the internet
Attempting to reconnect
Something went wrong!
Attempting to reconnect
Analysis Summary
Ask yourself: “If I turn the sound off, does this argument still hold up?”
Us vs. Them
Dividing the world into two camps — people like us (good, trustworthy) and people not like us (dangerous, wrong). It exploits a deep human tendency to favor our own group. Once you accept the division, information from "them" gets automatically discounted.
Tajfel's Social Identity Theory (1979); Minimal Group Paradigm
Worth Noting
Positive elements
- Provides structured analysis of four possible lawsuit outcomes with pros/cons for each side, offering a clear framework for understanding legal technicalities like summary judgments.
Be Aware
Cautionary elements
- Us-vs-them framing that positions the audience as insiders on 'team Baldoni' to deepen emotional commitment to the narrative.
Influence Dimensions
How are these scored?About this analysis
Knowing about these techniques makes them visible, not powerless. The ones that work best on you are the ones that match beliefs you already hold.
This analysis is a tool for your own thinking — what you do with it is up to you.
Related content covering similar topics.
Blake and Taylor: What The Text Messages REALLY Reveal.
CaliDee
Mean Girls Are So Cringe…
CaliDee
Will Taylor Swift Get Sued?
CaliDee
Blake’s Dirty Legal Trick is PROOF: They Know They Are Losing!
CaliDee
Transcript
So, we're at [music] the end of 2025, and boy, this year felt like the longest year of my life. [music] And it also went by really quickly. How does that work? Anyway, welcome to my channel. If this is your first time, please subscribe. Let's get [music] right into it. Blake Lively versus Justin Baldoni. This has been kind of like the perfect story because we have the perfect villain, the mean girl, Blake Lively, who has already had a documented problematic history that we have witnessed and her husband who was the good guy in Hollywood, Ryan Reynolds, that seemed like everybody loved him. But now that we have delved into their lives as a result of this lawsuit, we are starting to see the real picture and stories are coming out of Ryan Reynolds and how difficult he was in his movie sets. We also have the hero Justin Baldoni, the good guy, the guy that seems to have done everything right and has had these two evil characters take advantage of his kindness. And for a lot of us, this story has resonated really strongly and I believe it will continue to dominate the headlines in 2026. However, 2026 is do or die. This case is either going to move forward or it's going to not move forward either by a ruling or because they decide to settle. But here's the thing. This is what I believe and I know that so many of you who've been following this story, you already know this. Regardless of what happens with this case, this is going to really humble Blake Lively and Ryan Reynolds. It's going to negatively affect their careers. It already has. The fact that a major studio has already cancelled some upcoming projects with Ryan Reynolds. The fact that Blake Lively and Ryan Reynolds at this point, a year after filing this lawsuit, they cannot have their comments on in their post on social media because they get bombarded by people demanding justice for Justin Baldoni. And so the fact that a year later they can't even turn on their comments, they've already lost. Justin's comments are open. And although he gets some detractors, he gets overwhelming positive comments. And the issue with Ryan and Blake is that the more we know about these two, the worse they look. The more this shiny veneer just gets wiped off from their image. and the waters become murkier and murkier and we get to see a side of them that we never imagined we would see that they never wanted us to see. And so this case has been disastrous for those two. And the more filings, the more disclosures and discovery come to the public, the worse it's going to be for them. So this is what I believe. There are four scenarios regarding this case that can play out and this is how I see it. The worst case scenario would be if this case goes to trial and Blake Lively loses. If this goes to trial and all the evidence is presented and a jury of her peers determines actually you were wrong in this scenario. He didn't do anything wrong. You are the villain here. If that happens, Blake Lively is done. I just don't see how anybody would ever want to work with her again, would want to get into a studio with her and risk having what happened to Justin Baldoni happen to them. So, that would be the worst case scenario. The second worst case scenario is if it goes to trial and Blake Lively wins. I know that sounds crazy, but that is the second worst case scenario because the public has already made up their minds that she is the bad person in this situation. And if this case goes to trial and she with her $10 million budget for her legal team shows up there with a wall of lawyers and they lie and and use technicalities. And because of this, Justin would lose in court and has to pay her hundreds of millions of dollars and ends up bankrupt because of her. There might be some people who might see that and go, "Oh, wow. We were wrong about her. She really was the victim here." There are other people who were rooting for her from the beginning and they will say, "Yeah, finally justice for Blake." But the overwhelming majority of the public is going to see her victory as the bully, rich, powerful, well-connected woman in Hollywood who used her resources to take advantage of the kinder, smaller player in this saga, that her money won. Not that she won. Again, she won't have much of a career. Justin could still have a career. In fact, he could have like a an arc of triumph, a a revenge of sorts after this case where he could do the rounds and talk about how money won, how power and greed won over truth and innocence. Okay. The third worst case scenario would be if they settle, it would be the same thing that we're seeing if she were to win. It would be seen as if Blake ran the clock. She dragged this thing through the courts. She ran poor Justin's pockets until he just couldn't fight anymore until she wore him down. And then he would under duress agree to settle the case. And if there's a settlement, guys, Justin can't talk about this. He cannot go on a tour trying to explain himself. He can't because I assure you that one of the terms of the agreement of dropping the lawsuit will be you have to promise you will never talk about this good or bad. You cannot talk about Blake Lively. You cannot mention her name. You can't talk about the movie. You just have to go away and cut your losses. And the public will see through that. They will see his silence, his kind of shuffling around, probably leaving Hollywood forever as, "Wow, wow, she really did that. She really took his money and ran. She really exhausted all of his options and now he's gone." And that will be seen as a tragedy for Justin and a ill-gained victory for Blake and Ryan. And this is going to affect them in Hollywood. It will not be as bad as the trial because they would still be able to keep everything hidden. Nobody would be able to present in court the evidence of everything that they did that Blake did behind the scenes to steal the movie from Justin. So, it would still be bad for them, but not as bad as scenarios one and two. The best case scenario moving forward for Blake Lively is if the judge throws her case out. If the judge throws out the case on a technicality because remember Justin Baldon's side requested a summary judgement on the basis of technicalities. They didn't do it on the merits of the case which is smart. If you have the technicality on your side, why argue the merits? Why have to go into the slam? Because let me tell you something, guys. And and and this this this I hope that all of us who are team Baldoni have left room to understand that Justin Baldon may have done some things that were not very appropriate, that he was not perfect in the way he handled himself in the filming of It Ends With Us. I do believe that Blake was 100 times worse than him. Her actions were and the lies that she have told ever since. But I think it would behoove Justin to not have everything come out, every little detail of everything he did on the studio because it may not bode well for him either. So the the best case scenario for Blake would be for the judge to say, you know what, this judgment doesn't mean that what Blake accused Justin of didn't happen, but based on the technicalities only, I have no choice. My hands are tied. I have to dismiss this case with prejudice. Blake could walk away with some level of sympathy because some people might say, "Wow, she didn't even have her day in court. She didn't even get to prove to the public that she was right because of this technicality and the fact that Justin Baldoni wanted this case thrown out before it even made it to court. That's kind of sus. Maybe he's hiding something." There are some people who would end up thinking this way. more people than would if any of the other scenarios were to play out. So, if I were Blake Lively, one of my wishes under the Christmas tree would be that Judge Lyman would look at the technicalities in the case as Justin Baldon's lawyer suggested he do and conclude, "Yeah, they might have something here, but we can't proceed if this is going to be sound with the law as it is written today." Of course, team Baldoni would take that dismissal as a huge vindication and a huge victory that they have been needing ever since that judge dismissed their case prematurely. I will die on this hill. I will never get over this. Judge Lyman should not have thrown out Justin's case. He just shouldn't. But him dismissing Blake's case against him would not only be a vindication for Justin, it would be a vindication for Judge Lyman who up until this point we have observe him to be kind of biased in his rulings. So if he can be neutral and say because of the technicalities in this case, this case cannot move forward. This would actually help the judge. So that would be a kind of a win for everybody. Blake gets to walk away and play victim. Oh, I've been victimized twice. [gasps] First at the hand of Justin Baldon and his associates. And now by the justice system which denied me my justice. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Girl, go ahead. Do your little victory lap if that happens. But under your Christmas tree, you really should be praying for the greatest gift of 2026, which would be your case getting dismissed. Trust me, that would be the best case scenario. And because getting your case tossed out would be the best case scenario for you. 2026 is going to humble her and Ryan Reynolds. It's going to let them know you should have never brought this case to court. You should have never done that. Your career would have been intact. All the bad will that people had, all the things that people were saying about you, how they didn't like you, the way you were promoting the movie, the way you spoke to Shasty Flaw in that interview, how you were being a mean girl. By now, that would have died down. We would have forgotten. we would have moved on with our lives. But you couldn't leave good enough alone. And now this is going to haunt you forever. Your career will never be what it was and what it could have been. Neither for you or your husband. So, if the judge tosses it, girl, take that L and celebrate the W because at least you'd have a I don't know like like a 30% chance of salvaging something of your career. As for the other major stories we talked about this year, what's next for Taylor Swift? She's supposed to be getting married. I'm still not sure that's going to happen. I'm still I was 50/50 before the engagement, but now after they've gotten engaged, their families are involved. There are strong rumors that Travis might retire from the NFL after this season that wasn't very good. Um, I think they're both anxious to start a new chapter and this wedding might seem like the portal that's going to bring that new chapter into their lives. I think they both think, okay, if we're going to close these major chapters in our lives, um the Aeros Tour, the biggest tour in history, um Travis's history career in the NFL, if it's coming to an end, they're both looking for the new era. And I think that they're both going to say the key to our new lives is us getting married and having a family. So instead of 50/50, I have it at 85. 85% chance that they will walk down the aisle, but there's that 15%. That I'm not sure it's going to happen, that they might just wake up one day and say, "I know I really wanted this, but I this is not right. I like this person very much. It was a lot of fun, but I just don't see myself with this person forever. if they do get married, I have a 75% chance of divorce sometime down the line, which is sad. I'm sorry. I And here's the thing. I I'm not wishing any of them any ill in any way, but just this is just what I'm seeing. This is what I'm seeing. So, 85% chance of a wedding of a Tavis wedding um for 2026. As for our other girl we like to talk about here, JLo 2026 new man. She's going to be into a new relationship, maybe get engaged, [laughter] [gasps] guys. We know the drill. We know the drill. JLo is going to pop out with a new man in 2026. There's probably going to be an engagement, maybe a wedding. That girl does not waste time. So, look out for that. New man, new ring, maybe a wedding, all in 2026. As for the other people we like to talk about here, um, the Kardashians, I think Kim is going to pass the bar next year finally. I believe Timmy and Kylie might get engaged next year. Um, Jordan, Kylie's good friend, uh, even though they've been maintaining their friendship on the down low, um, she just got engaged, her boyfriend. Congratulations, Jordan. And I believe that, um, Kylie, she wants to have another baby. Timmy, in an interview recently, he said he wants to be a dad. He looks forward to one day having children. I think being with Kylie has really made his biological clock start to tick. if he wins the Oscar, which he has a really strong chance of doing this year, I believe he's going to pop the question next to Kylie. And so, you know, the Kardashians when when their popularity starts to dip, they look for ways to to kind of bring back interest into the relationship. So, look forward to that wedding, that big wedding that's going to come. Although, I don't think Kylie would want it televised. I don't know if Tim would want it televised either, but you know that Pip Mama Chris is going to do everything to milk this joyous occasion to kind of talk about the behind the scenes what's happening. Which other Kardashian Jenner? Um, I think Kendall might get engaged this year. She and her basketball boyfriend, I'm going to put his name on the screen cuz I can't remember his name. They've been on and off on and off for like six, seven years now. And I think they're back on on the down low. And now that the Kardashian Jenner's interest in that family is kind of going down, uh, she might not be getting all the modeling gigs that she used to. So now she's, you know, she's probably getting into her, you know, it's time to have kids. I'm getting older. All my siblings have kids. It's time for me to join the family business. And, um, so look out for that. She might get engaged as well this year. Um, as for the others, don't really know. Don't really care. And, uh, who else have we talked about in the past that's in the news? Cardi B. What a mess. What a mess. If ever there was someone who exemplifies the saying, you don't want to jump out of the hot water into the fire. I never thought Cardi could do worse than Offset, but here we are. [clears throat] Embarrassing. So embarrassing, but such is life. Um, yeah, those are my little predictions for 2026. Thank you so much for hanging with me all of 2025. We made it to 4,000 subscribers this year. I look forward to continuing to grow with you guys next year. Thank you so much for watching. God bless you. Merry Christmas for you who had your Christmas. Happy New Year, guys. Guys, I really pray all the best blessings. May your wishes [music] and your dreams come true. 2026, let's work really hard to make them [music] come true. Let's stop wishing. I have started working really hard behind the scenes on my little business and I'm going to pop out in 26. Look out for that. Um, thank you so much for watching this video. Please subscribe to my channel if you would like to see me do more commentary and if you want to see me talk about my my new business venture coming up. Uh give a like if you enjoyed it. Share it with others if you think it was interesting. Watch other videos. Get nostalgic as we come to a new year and we say goodbye to the old years. Start looking at some of the old videos of things that I've talked about. Did I say subscribe? Yes. Yes. Please subscribe to my channel. Thank you once again for watching all of 2025 and hopefully [music] I will see you next time. Bye.
Video description
Happy New Year! In my last video of 2025 I make some predictions of what we can expect for 2026 from some of our “favorite” celebrities. Let’s discuss… Watch some of these related videos: The CALCULATED BRAINWASHING Of Isabela Ferrer: https://youtu.be/DcdhpQoSgPs?si=nffCnXEjWBLALzDZ JLo Movie Clues: https://youtu.be/Nr2unhZGUuY?si=m1eYg6vhjY4u76cY Blake Fooled Y’all: https://youtu.be/BsKYmujOFrQ?si=qOJo00BW-vRlm0SI Shady Tactics: https://youtu.be/5Vo8KaZdrsI?si=qI1koPQrWVcvLaXa When The Bully Wants Pitty: https://youtu.be/4gLbxdKx0QQ?si=yAzQr3b0_tEs0K-V Really Justin?: https://youtu.be/_tND7XH5IqQ?si=h49ldSQM9ze78Iws It’s Hard To Defend Blake: https://youtu.be/mV6eJs-fzoY?si=bKgzpI3Ylvb4W-Nv What I saw in the Blake Justin video: https://youtu.be/b080rYUvmL8?si=y7xQfQjNllRylXh1 Blake = Squatter: https://youtu.be/SleWqa2RhPk?si=HwIdLxH_X4rElUDQ Jlo Wants That Oscar: https://youtu.be/xeETD3LoDeQ?si=_mIkqBjKx0fLW3MX I Was Wrong About Taylor: https://youtu.be/W5S5NlzNC1o?si=Tfd1ove2hR1z6xhd What Happened, Taylor?: https://youtu.be/pqWyQJdVIzw?si=OtLRgOpO7B8xzNU5 Is Travis Using Taylor?: https://youtu.be/K7iIoQMpPmU?si=r-U5MijWBQ2fYeWf Taylor and JLo Made the Same Mistake: https://youtu.be/xzyWVjjhUOE?si=5h0YO0o_WSt-J3SO I Think I Know What Started the Taylor Blake Feud: https://youtu.be/YiaJegee5s0?si=Vyx1hYjMdv8GP41D The Subpoena Was about Taylor Swift: https://youtu.be/INVZQAW16Us?si=tEeQpnkPX0I6wRyQ Taylor Swift Has Been Subpoenaed: https://youtu.be/KMgFptYknH4?si=DdsRFil6vFOJphNb Kylie And Timothee Make Sense: https://youtu.be/BKmDrtrU4FQ?si=Oj1KOGV15SyIhtAL Kardashian Matriarchy: https://youtu.be/qW52LMQ2Omw?si=xUQN6dOIpee8-aHw Cardi And Offset Over: https://youtu.be/aJkeepk0m90?si=BMhsWMhRnQ_SKVS8