Why America's War In Middle East for "Freedom" is an Illusion I – Prof. Jiang Xueqin

So let's pretend that it's March 2027 and Trump goes on TV. He announces operation Iranian freedom, a fullscale US invasion of Iran along with Israel, Saudi Arabia as its main partners, but United Kingdom, UK will be involved, Australia will be involved, UAE will be involved, Poland will be involved. You have many countries attacking Iran together. And Trump goes on TV and explains to the American public why United States is fighting this war. And this is what Trump says. First he says that for the past year there have been violent protests in Iran. You have religious protests. You have political protest. You have ethnic protest. The Iranian people are sick of the Ayatollah. They are sick of the dictatorship. They want democracy. They want freedom. In response, the ren guard are killing thousands of protesters. Iran is on the brink of civil war. Therefore, the United States has an obligation to protect the people of Iran. The people of Iran are praying for freedom and democracy. And the United States, the world's greatest democracy, must give them democracy. Second, US intelligence along with Israeli intelligence have discovered that for the past two years, Iran has been working very very hard on developing a nuclear bomb. In fact, Iran is only one month away from having three nuclear bombs so that New York City, San Francisco, Los Angeles could all be destroyed. So to prevent this, we must strike first to stop Iran's nuclear program. Third, Iranian proxies, the Houthis, Hespala, many groups have been disrupting shipping in the Middle East in both the Red Sea and the sh of Humus. 40% of the world's oil passes through that region, mainly to East Asia, China, Japan, South Korea. Our global prosperity is at stake. We must go to war to protect these shipping lanes and ensure that the oil goes to China, Japan, and South Korea so that they can continue their economic prosperity. The United States as the world hedgeimon has a responsibility to protect global prosperity. Four, Iran has been launching attacks against our allies Saudi Arabia and Israel. Hezbollah has been violently attacking Israel, killing dozens of Israelis, innocent Israelis. The Houthies have been attacking Saudi Arabia oil fields, damaging the economy. We have an obligation to protect our allies, our friends in Middle East. And the last reason is we know for a fact that the Iranian revery guard corp is a sponsor of terrorism. Last week in a mall, there were gunmen who went and killed 107 people. Our intelligence says that it was most definitely an Iranian operation. So for these five reasons, we have decided to invade Iran. But don't worry, this invasion will be successful because we have a lot of allies. The UK, Israel, Saudi Arabia, all our friends, we part of this operation. Our special forces are already in the country looking for their air bases and their missiles. we can knock them out at the beginning of the war. Also, we have been in in contact with Iranian opposition groups. They want to overthrow the regime and when we help them, they will install democracy in the country. Our American military is the greatest in the world. In 1991, our military defeated Saddam Hussein in 100 hours in less than 3 weeks. To prove that we are the greatest in the world, we will defeat Iran in only two weeks. So, do not worry. we will be strong in protecting democracy, freedom, and global prosperity. That's what Donald Trump will say to the people of the United States. And of course, you're going to have large-scale protests throughout the country opposing this war. But most people in the country will support this war. So after this speech, the operation is launched and on TV. We will watch this on TV and we'll be so impressed by the power of the US military. This is Iran. This is the straight of Humus. Saudi Arabia. Israel is here. Red Sea is here. Iraq is here. So in the street of Humus comes the USS Gerro Art Ford. It is a $13 billion super carrier. This thing is designed to destroy countries. It is now prowling the shoo to ensure that shipping is safe. America establishes ear supremacy very quickly. Okay. meaning that it has complete control over the skies. Nothing can move in the skies without America detection. And then a massive invasion force is sent to Iran in the south. 100,000 US troops land. Maybe 200,000 Saudi Arabia troops land. Maybe you have 200,000 to half a million troops in Iran. And they are about to strike Tran in the north. So in the south, the United States and its allies have established a foothold. They have a huge presence in the country and they're about to attack Tran. Now I want to ask you this question. At this point, I think the war has been decided. Who has won the war? America established air supremacy. It controls the skies. US Navy controls the seas. You have 100,000 US troops in country redistrian. The war hasn't been decided. Who has won the war? Obviously, this is a trick question. Obviously, Iran has won the war. Why? What's the problem with this plan? This is typical American doctrine. Shock and all. This is how they fight wars. But there's a problem with this plan. What is it? Why would the Iranians want this? Let's go back to traditional military doctrine. In traditional military doctrine, you have three principles. Mass forces, avoid encirclement, protect supply lines. These are three things you must absolutely obey if you are going to war. So using traditional military doctrine, explain to me why United States has lost the war right now. First of all, they're in circle. Okay? You know why? Because Iran are all mountains. It's a fortress, meaning that to get these troops into the country, you have to airdrop them. But guys, once you're in the country, you can't get them out of the country. Okay? So, that's the first problem. They've been in circle, right? What's the second problem? So, they failed to mass forces. Iran is a population of 90 million people. You will need at least 3 to 4 million soldiers to even think about comping the country. They've got 100,000 in this country. You can't move tanks through mountains. They're not designed for mountain warfare. What are you going to do? So, they can't mass forces. and they've been encircled. And what else is the problem? And this is the biggest problem. They cannot be resupplied. Okay? They have no supply lines. For them to be resupplied, airplanes have to drop ammunition, food into the country. But again, Iran is all mountains. So, it's very easy for Iranians to shoot down the airplanes. When you pass through mountains, you can't see what's on the ground. A random guy with a rocket launcher can just shoot down the helicopter, which is what the Afghans did against the Soviets in the Afghanistan war. And that's why the the Soviets lost the war. A drone can take down any airplanes. So in other words, these guys are trapped that you think they're soldiers, but they're not. What they really are hostages. You have too many people in the country, so you can't get them out of the country, but you don't have enough people to actually launch a strike against Tran. You can't resupply them. And they've been encircled by Iranian forces. The logic of having 100,000 US troops in the country is that once in the country, all the resistance to the regime will rise up and strike against tan. The Iranian army will mutiny against the country. That's the hope. Why do we think this won't happen? Why won't the Iranians revolt against their government? Why don't they want to revolt? So, Iranians hate America. Remember that Iranians remember the shaw from 1953 until 1979. The Shaw, the American supported Shaw was running a a brutal police state. So brutal that everyone in Iran revolted against the regime. That's number one. Why else would the Iranians not support the Americans? Iran has a bad history of America. Why else, guys? Which country is next door? What happened in Iraq? America destroyed Iraq, right? From 2003 into 2011, America was there destroying the country. America said that it would bring freedom of democracy. It would bring prosperity. It would bring wealth. But instead, it just destroyed the country. American soldiers were running into houses every night, pointing guns at children, destroying homes, and arresting men for no reason. Iranians saw all this on TV. They heard about all this from neighbors. So, they know that if America comes, it's to destroy the country, not to bring freedom, democracy, not to bring prosperity, it's to destroy the country. That's why they're going to fight. Another reason is that Iranians think that they belong to a great civilization. So they value their freedom and independence. They're not going to submit to a foreign conqueror. So why else would the Iranians resist? Also religion, right? The Iranians are religious. They believe that America is Satan and they have a duty, a religious obligation to fight Satan. So for many reasons, this is no way that Iran people are going to stand with America. You might have a minority, but most are going to resist. Why would the Americans think that the Iranian people will rise up? And the answer is that they need to justify the invasion. They have to have a logical explanation for why this invasion will succeed because one of the criticisms against them will be like you need 4 million people to invade Iran. They don't have 4 million soldiers. They have at most 1 million soldiers, okay? Total throughout the world. They have about 60,000 in the Middle East. So they can't get a million soldiers. So the only explanation is okay. Well, we're going to pretend that once we invade the people of Iran will support us. So it's not based on truth, but it's a explanation for why the ination will succeed.

Check out Prof. Jiang Xueqin's recommended books to supplement his ideas: ► The Divine Comedy (The Inferno, The Purgatorio, and The Paradiso) by Dante Alighieri: https://amzn.to/3NZSkzt ► Anna Karenina by Leo Tolstoy: https://amzn.to/3ZQfsmy ► Confessions of an Economic Hit Man by John Perkins: https://amzn.to/4kskgs4 Check out the Prof. Jiang FULL curated reading list here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1yUE3DASNii2uPBuEcJKzF4iOjVPaU0nVThyaDUPPZWo/edit?usp=sharing The lectures featured on this channel are delivered by Prof. Jiang Xueqin. 🔗 Original lectures & channel: @PredictiveHistory A dramatic hypothetical unfolds: a U.S.-led coalition launches “Operation Iranian Freedom,” framed as a mission to defend democracy, prevent nuclear proliferation, protect global shipping lanes, and defend key regional allies. The speech announcing the war presents familiar arguments that have shaped many modern interventions—humanitarian concern for protesters, fears of an imminent nuclear threat, the safeguarding of global energy flows, and the defense of strategic partners. Yet beneath this confident narrative lies a deeper strategic question: can overwhelming technological superiority and rapid military deployment truly determine the outcome of a war? In this analysis, Jiang Xueqin challenges the assumptions behind modern American war doctrine. Air supremacy, naval dominance, and a rapid ground deployment may create the appearance of decisive strength, but history repeatedly shows that wars are rarely decided in their opening stages. Geography, logistics, manpower, and the political will of a population often determine the real balance of power. In a vast, mountainous country with tens of millions of people and a long memory of foreign intervention, the limits of shock-and-awe warfare become starkly visible. What appears to be a swift and decisive military operation can quickly evolve into a strategic trap, where tactical victories fail to translate into political control. The lesson drawn from past conflicts is clear: achieving battlefield dominance is one thing, but securing lasting victory in a complex society is another matter entirely. Turn on notifications to stay updated! 🔔🔔🔔 Here, we transform original content from interviews, lectures, podcasts, and keynotes featuring Jiang Xueqin to provide viewers with a more immersive and engaging experience. Our goal is to educate and inform as many people as possible about Jiang Xueqin’s unique economic insights and critiques of global capitalism. We also strive to make Jiang Xueqin’s ideas more accessible to individuals with hearing impairments by providing professional transcriptions for the majority of our videos. By enhancing the original content with cinematic editing, improved clarity, and added context, we aim to amplify Jiang Xueqin’s message and help more viewers understand the economic and social issues they address. Fair Use Disclaimer: 1. The videos have no negative impact on the original works. 2. The videos we create are for educational and commentary purposes. 3. The videos are transformative in nature. 4. We primarily use audio components and only minimal video footage when necessary. Copyright Disclaimer: Under Section 107 of the Copyright Act of 1976, allowance is made for “Fair Use” for purposes such as criticism, comment, news reporting, teaching, scholarship, education, and research. Fair use is permitted by copyright statutes that might otherwise be infringing. All rights remain with the original copyright holders. Disclaimer: • Content Context: This video contains discussions of theoretical perspectives and unverified information sourced from public discourse and various news outlets. It is presented solely for educational and informational purposes and should not be regarded as conclusive fact. • Intention of Content: We do not intend to defame, slander, or discredit any individuals or organizations mentioned. The content is designed to foster thoughtful discussion and critical thinking. • Non-Endorsement of Violence: We do not condone or encourage any form of violence described in the content. References to such actions are provided only for historical or analytical context. Our channel is not affiliated with Jiang Xueqin or any of their organizations and is purely made for entertainment and educational purposes. The content we share is based on facts, public commentary, and interpretations and should not be taken as financial or medical advice.